AI, And Wealthy Consumers Are Driving The Bus

Dan North | October 2026

Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew at an annualized rate of 2.2% in the second quarter of 2026, a sharp upward revision from the 1.5% previously estimated. In addition, the 2.2% blew past consensus estimates of 1.5%. The upward revision of 0.7% was driven primarily by stronger-thanexpected business investment and consumer spending. The headline GDP number was even dragged down significantly by imports, which subtracted nearly 1.7 percentage points from growth. In this case, that’s actually a sign of strength (we’re importing because we’re investing and consuming), but it makes the top-line number look more modest than the underlying reality.

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