Allianz Trade has revised its economic growth estimates for Portugal upwards. The world leader in Credit Insurance anticipates that Portugal's gross domestic product (GDP) will grow by 1.6% this year and 1.4% in 2025, which represents an upward revision compared to the April forecast, when it anticipated economic growth of 1.3% for 2024 and 1.8% for 2025.
The Portuguese economy has shown signs of resilience despite the various challenges it has faced. The evolution of the tourism sector and private consumption have supported economic growth. However, Allianz Trade points out that there are still risks to be taken into account, particularly due to the uncertainty generated by elections in economies that are particularly important for Portugal, such as France, the United Kingdom and the United States of America (USA) later this year.
Allianz Trade's estimates for inflation in Portugal point to an approximation to the ECB's target of around 2%, and by 2025 it should stand at 1.9%.